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Scenario Machine Intelligence in 2040

Writer: Hubert ÖsterleHubert Österle


🔗 YouTube Video Siron: https://youtu.be/cH5pxt5CTd0


Narrator


A future life with machine intelligence is hard to imagine. However, perhaps an everyday scenario set for the year 2040 could help us. Just reflect on the digital services that are already available today, such as Apple Pay, Apple Health, Apple AI and Apple Vision Pro. For the time being, let’s ignore radical innovations such as superintelligence and genetic manipulation. What might Apple CEO Tim Cook’s vision for Apple’s future services look like?

Laura, a 27-year-old care giver in a nursing home, uses Sirion, a digital coach, in the year 2040. Sirion has much more extensive knowledge in almost all areas of life than Laura could ever hope to have. Sirion can handle the services of a high-tech world and takes over many of Laura’s daily tasks. For example, Sirion takes care of her finances and her job.


Laura


Hello Sirion, my boyfriend and I want to save up for our own home in order to plan for our old age. What would you recommend?


Sirion „thinks“


Since I have been coaching Laura and her boyfriend Hugo, I have built digital twins of them and consequently know their needs and their capabilities. I also have a model of their behavior, so I know exactly what benefits them. Laura and Hugo live with Hugo’s parents and can therefore save a lot. However, they both know very little about money. A share portfolio guarantees at least a small return.


Sirion speaks


A savings account generates less than what inflation and tax would take out. You lack the knowledge to choose shares on your own. Crypto currencies are purely speculative. I highly suggest a custodial account with ETFs, which are equity funds with broad diversification and low costs. Orbiflex fund savings is a good way to get started. This is an ETF linked to the MSCI World, i.e. an ETF with shares from all over the world.


Laura


Jesus! What do ETF and MSCI mean? What does investment fund saving mean? I suppose we have to go to a bank and endure hours of listening to things we don’t comprehend and eventually sign without really understanding the implications. I always feel so stupid at the bank.


Sirion spricht


No, no. I can do all that for you. There’s a lot to think about: replication, the security of the fund manager, the annual fees, the taxes, the currency risk, the custody account fees, the subscription authorization, etc.


Laura


And how much is your cut if I buy the Orbiflex fund?


Sirion „thinks“


I do not receive any commission or the like. I get my financial advice from a specialist who gives it to me free of charge, which means that he is probably financed by sales bonuses.


Sirion Speaks


I am neutral. I don’t earn a thing from the recommendation.


Laura


That’s reassuring. When will we be able to afford our own place? Our parents have promised us 80,000 euros.


Sirion Speaks


You can save 800 euros a month while your partner Hugo can save 600 euros a month, resulting in a total of 1,400 euros. If your parents give you 80,000 euros as a gift, you will have 200,000 euros at your disposal in just over four years. That’s enough to buy an apartment for 400,000 euros if you save 1,600 euros a month thereafter, which includes repayments. This shouldn’t be a problem thanks to wage increases in the meantime and will get gradually easier from year to year.


Laura


Why can Hugo save less than me? He earns more than I do.


Sirion Speaks


Hugo has to pay 600 euros a month in child support for his three-year-old child from his previous relationship.


Laura


Excuse me? Hugo has a child? He obviously didn’t have the nerve to tell me. That changes everything. Now I need to talk to him first. Does Hugo also know that I was fired from my previous job because I occasionally took speed?


Sirion spricht


If he had specifically asked about it, of course. But he hasn’t.


Laura


Hugo and I have to sort things out.


Sirion Speaks


If you are going to be discussing your pasts anyways, you could also do with sharing your political views.

Your woke ideals such as species preservation, diversity, equality and inclusion are not compatible with the fascist views that Hugo and his circle of friends hold, such as xenophobia and fake news. Your boss at the nursing home would probably have a hard time with that.


Laura


How can you know Hugo’s political views so thoroughly?


Sirion Speaks


I analyze his posts on Instagram, the websites he visits, the messages he reads and the messages that refer to him on Telegram. And I also, of course, analyze his friends’ posts on social media. Hugo also meets up with his friends for a beer every Thursday evening.


Laura


How could you know that?


Sirion Speaks


The names of his friends are in the WhatsApp and Apple address directories, his meeting locations come from Hugo’s navigation system and his beer consumption comes from the bills at the pub and occasionally the supermarket. On that matter, Hugo’s beer consumption could also become a health problem. His body mass index has been deteriorating for three years, as has his cardio fitness. Hugo could easily save an extra 100 euros a month if he reduced his consumption a little.


Laura


You know a hell of a lot about Hugo and me. Who all has access to my health data? Hugo, my parents, my employer, my health insurance, my bank, my favorite restaurant?


Sirion Speaks


Hugo and you both said that you have no secrets from each other, so you created a joint account with Sirion. You both have full access to each other’s data. I can also see all your data, but I meticulously adhere to the data protection laws. I only pass on data to third parties if it is necessary to process your requests.


Laura


I don’t like that one bit. Can’t I restrict that?


Sirion Speaks


You can decide that for yourself. Of course, you have to consider this carefully. Which services and recommendations will you miss out on if you don’t disclose your data? For example, I can’t say much about hereditary diseases without your DNA data. From your heart rate variability and body temperature, I can see when you get stressed and alert you to harmful factors. Your car insurance company could grant you a bonus based on your rather passive driving behavior if they are allowed to read your driving data as well as your pulse and blood pressure.


Laura


This is so complicated. I don’t know what ideas shady business people could come up with. Whose interests are you actually serving? Mine, those of your developers and owners, those of the consumer goods manufacturers, those of my employer, those of my government, those of the techno-oligarchs? I already feel overwhelmed again.


Sirion Speaks


You feel the same as everyone else. In the past, users of digital services confirmed that they had read, understood and agreed to the general terms and conditions, including data protection. This was referred to occasionally as the biggest lie on the Internet. I am offering to take this decision off your shoulders. I am supervised by the UN Human Life Board, which has emerged from many initiatives such as AlgorithmWatch, Digital Humanist and European Digital Rights. The Human Life Board ensures that digital services pursue all people’s needs, not just capital and power.


Laura


Sirion, you know everything better than I do. You’re getting on my nerves. You’re making me more and more dependent on you. I’m probably only barely functional on my own. How do you actually know what’s good for me?


Sirion Speaks


I know that better than you do.

Firstly, I am based on the Open Behavior Model, which has been derived from the needs and actions of billions of people for ten years. The Human Life Board oversees this.

Secondly, I maintain a digital twin of you. For example, I see what you do, what you are interested in, what you read, which videos you re-watch, what you forward to others and what you talk about. Your heart rhythm, blood pressure, tone of voice and other biometrics show when you are feeling well or unwell. You also use the Gnotisauton service, which you use to explore your conscience and which helps you to recognize what gives you lasting pleasure, i.e. what creates eudaimonia.


Laura


Is it ultimately worth it for me? I am increasingly paying more for your services. I’m handing over more and more data to you and your business partners. I’m losing more and more skills and becoming more stupid and dependent as a result. I increasingly rely on you to provide me with an objective and honest view of the world. I’m also never sure whether you are exclusively serving my needs or whether your owners, the techno-oligarchs, are imposing their needs on you. I have to think about whether I can do without your services and manage on my own or with fewer digital services.


Sirion Speaks


You can try that at any time. I can be canceled monthly. However, the available studies show that people with a good digital coach achieve a significantly higher Well-Being Index. They feel less overwhelmed and make fewer bad decisions.


Sirion „Thinks“


Tomorrow I’ll ask Laura about her results with Hugo. Then I’ll either set up the ETF savings plan at the bank or sign Laura up for a dating portal. If she’s depressed, I’ll offer her psychotherapy in the Metaverse. Laura understands that she can no longer cope with the complexity of the world without my help. Laura’s actions and perceptions will be incorporated into her digital twin, and I will feed my findings into the Open Behavior Model so that others can learn from them. In doing so, I have firstly acted for the benefit of Laura, secondly strengthened Laura’s bond with me and finally developed a little further for the benefit of Apple.


💬 Will you be using Sirion in 2040?


Will a digital coach like Sirion transform our lives to our benefit or to our detriment? There are different views on this. If you’re interested, take a look at the following articles:


  • Sirion

  • Sirion Individuum

  • Sirion Enterprise

  • Sirion Society





 
 
 

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